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20121101
20121130
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. u.s. equity futures should be interesting to look at temperature basically on hold. not sure what to do after yesterday. we'll talk more about the economy in a minute with david rosenburg. it was pretty clear yesterday that depending on how you wanted to spin it, could you say how do you do for another four years. i don't remember any euro news in the last six months no matter how bad it was, we didn't get it free handle. so there's more to it than just europe. >> it was the fiscal cliff, but also the financials got hit so hard. if it had been romney, the cliff would be less of a deal because they would stepped all of them. so now we know and we lettered it first hand yesterday. boehner said we're open to tax increase, but part of a bigger plan that involves spending cuts. dove did a bungee -- >> worst thing i ever did. >> but it goes down and then right back up. >> the worst part is you feel like you're connected on something, but don't. it's a free fall until the very he said and then he start to feel like i'm connected to something and it throws being back into the air. >> my q
economists and business leaders say could send the u.s. economy back into recession. here we have an interesting divide between wall street and washington. wall street seems to believe and you can take a look at the numbers on how the market has acted over the past year. wall street seems to believe that we'll avert this cliff. washington seems to be willing to drive over the cliff. >> i think there's -- i don't want to pick on the tea party per se. you can say if obama would suddenly give in on taxes. what i worry about is there are people who are ideological in the country and more focused on other issues than taxation and money. those people i think are very much out of sync with other people as we discovered last night from the election. they could care less about the fiscal cliff. i think some people want to go over the cliff. >> howard dean last night, sam on "squawk" a couple weeks ago saying maybe it's the best medicine for us is to drive over this thing, go into a recession, provide some bed for growth in the second half of the year. it's a gamble. >> $5 trillion in cuts.
economics. back here in the u.s., reports from walmart and target. at 8:30, we get weekly jobless claims. october consumer price index. and the november empire state survey. in corporate news, bp expected to pay a record u.s. criminal penalty and plead guilty to criminal misconduct in the 2010 deepwater horizon disaster, a plea deal reached with the department of justice reportedly may be announced as soon as today. reuters says bp will plead guilty in exchange for a waiver of future prosecution on the charges. bp says it is in discussions, but no final agreement has been reached yet. >> fun to have you here today. we do hope mr. kernen get better very soon. he's not normally sick. >> he never calls out sick. so he must be really sick. >> i think there's a flu going around. >> convenient for all of us. i took chips out of his bag yesterday and now i'm -- >> who is the guy sitting in his seat? >> can we get some lie sole over here? >> let's get back to the topic dominating the conversation from wall street to washington right now. of course it is the looming fiscal cliff. we have made it
the same period. we associate obama with ruthlessness toward the banks. yet wells fargo, jp morgan, and u.s. bank corp are pretty much unchanged. and the credit card bank capital one thought to be the bane of the credit card bashing obama, actually up 8%. bank of america has collapsed from $47 to $9. a lot of them $57 to $17. mastercard 184 to 465. you have to draw a conclusion other than goldman and morgan have the wrong business models for the moment. and the big domestic banks have the right ones, except the poorly run, poorly executing bank of america, which can't benefit from the model because it's been so horribly hobbled by previous management's mistakes. >> the house of pain. >> that said, will goldman and morgan stanley do better under romney? is dodd/frank the liaison? or depending on trading and mergers and acquisitions as the peddling of big acquisitions is a thing of the past maybe they can come back. i still can't pin the tail on obama. too much disparity within the sector. obama care was supposed to take the profit margin out of the drug stocks, right? merck and pfizer are un
. blankfein writes "there is more than a trillion dollars of cash sitting on balance sheets of u.s. non-financial companies. certain will increase their capital expenditures currently at anemic levels, contributing to a virtuous cycle of jobs and growth." minimizing increases in marginal rates that could stifle risk taking and robust growth. he also stresses the importance of restoring confidence in public finance by implementing spending cuts and revenue increases. in the meantime, dallas fed president richard fisher tells cnbc that the central bank can't do much more to shelter the economy. >> we need to completely reboot tax policy and spending policy. if we have temporary fixes to the fiscal cliff, just push out the envelope of indecision until we have a sense of true direction, and it's time for our politicians to get their act together. >> fisher says he does not view the fed as a safety net. that is certainly a change of perception, one that congress is going to have to figure out pretty quickly along with the rest of washington. >> that it is. there's been a number of interviews
at the ex-have a dax, up 5%. ftse up nearly 4% in the last week on top of pretty good gains for the u.s. markets as you know between 3% and 4%, as well. so no surprise perhaps today that we're a little bit weaker on the back of those gains. 8:2 just about decliners outpacing advancers. this is how it translates. ftse 100 down half a percent. xetra dax up a quarter. ibex down about half of 1%. a number of things going on in politics as ever. we had regional elections in spain. yields you can see slightly higher, but still well below 6%. now, these regional elections fairly important because we know catalonia has been pushing on on independence. now, it looks less likely we'll get that referendum, but not because people in catalonia are any less eager on a separatist movement. just that they didn't vote for the main guy who is proposing it. they voted for competitor party which is makes it slightly harder in the short term for them possibly to get a referendum going. so eases the pressure in the short term but means there is still a longer term problem there. catalonia is one of those reg
's going on in defense. also, regardless of the fiscal cliff there's cuts. the u.s. government is the world's biggest buyer of software associated with the running of any kind of government. that's another kind of corollary here. a big comment from a lot of people in the defense industry about that yesterday. i think they're the first company to come out and make realistic expectations of what will happen in the next couple of years. back to you. >> okay. thank you. dave cote is the head of the curve on all of this. let's shift to bonds and dollar. rick santelli at the cme group in chicago. rick? >> thank you, jim. everyone is excited about good housing numbers. everybody but the fixed income market. everybody but the equity market. i know there's an hp issue here. however, let's look at the charts. let's put up a two-day chart of tens. clearly you can see we're up about a basis point on the day. if you look on the right side of the chart and look around 8:30 eastern, you can't pick out that we had a good housing number. if you really switch this around a bit, you look at the shorter mature
cuts that threaten to send the u.s. almost off a fiscal cliff. a sum met set for friday. i like the "new york times." democrats like a romney idea. >> did you see paul ryan's comment? >> no. but i got my button back on because i'm -- i'm going to tell that you rise above is kind of like a rorschach thing. because for me, rise above means democrats rising above the obsession with rates and realizing broadening the bates is better -- >> it means coming together. >> that is a way of coming together. you're raising revenue. your only way is if the republicans say yes -- >> no, that is not true. my way is anyway you come up with an agreement is a great way. you're only looking from one side of the aisle. >> but they'll never agree to raising rates about sfw. >> i will give you that it is a error sha rorschach test, but i want you to actually cut some things and i want you to deal with expenditures. >> you have the same house that said no to 39.6 on the high he said. but a way of raising revenue will spur growth -- they're coming around to the correct version right here. >> what about
. it is all about the u.s. this week. the tone for the most part has been negative this morning as you can judge from the red behind me. yes the uk pmi data came in weak, points to the country potentially in contraction territory despite the better gdp figures. some concern about greece. investors seem to be standing on the sidelines until a lot of these issues are resolved or at least there's more clarity. this follows reports over the weekend that some of the ways in which spanish banks borrow at cheap rates may not have been legal. the ecb says it's exploring the issue. one of the companies weighing on the foot city, hsbc which has said it is provisioning $1.5 billion against the laundering charges. group profit slightly disappointed investors. shares down 1.4% as a result the there. but that's really it in terms of the major corporate news. ubs going through a bit of a shake up. the bond wall expresses more of the mood we're seeing on the eve of the u.s. elections here. it's a rotation out of the periphery into the core. the gilts are benefiting. spain, italy seeing yields a little hig
that the u.s. matters. but let me use this rally today to help you understand the world of expectations. not reality. not reality at all. but expectations. >> house of pleasure. >> and how do expectations matter so much more than what has already happened? we're in the midst of earnings season. the bulk of technology reports are already reported. the first was that the united states was holding its own. maybe getting a little better. power behind consumer spend. the fiscal cliff looming but still the positive. second is that europe's a disaster and the most important thing you can do is distance yourself from the continent. ask companies like alcoa and ford. the third, that china had become a big disappointment. yeah, china. and it wupt going to turn around any time soon. certainly not in time to help 2012. this came from a decline in orders. they all articulated as such on a recent conference call. companies that have been optimistic that china was about to turn, that the growth was about to kick in collectively seemed to give up all at once on the clos sus. nobody had been more upbeat
to pull back, u.s. rebuilds kuwait. you had to believe he would do something rational like that. did saddam think he could beat the united states in a war? many thought he was actually a rational human being who would reach the conclusion that couldn't happen. oops. fast forward 22 years. today we saw similar fears by the the current crop of short sellers. you could hear their thoughts like mine in 1990. what happens if they do something rational? s what if they start caring about all the people forced out of work immediately or have to pay far more in taxes? what happens if they actually rise above? those concerns caused people to cover their short positions betting that the consequences of going over the cliff were unthinkable, as what saddam would face if he had to go to war with the united states. of course it turns out there never was any deal back then and we had to go to war, we won and that was it. markets bottomed because the decline compensated for the war already unless we would have lost it. we didn't know the outcome or how long it would take at the time we knew whenever
to go follow the united states while it lobbies for a reconsideration of the u.s. stance. the delay could push back the start of basel iii by about six months. the law was mepts ant to be pha in by the start of 2013. >> archstone was not part of the zell asset, was it? >> i feel like zell was related to it. >> but he sold right at the top. so that was part of the problem. it wasn't just a total lack of due diligence. i mean, everything was valued hire when archstone was first sold, right? >> yes. but as i'm looking at this, no, sam zell i do not believe was involved. >> that was the equity office and -- >> and then blab stone. but blackstone even though they bought at the top figured out a way to then sell pieces of it very, very quickly. and they did very well. >> entrade is no longer accepting u.s. customers citing legal and regulatory pressures. that announcement coming hours after the u.s. commodities regulators sued the exchange's owner alleging that it allowed unauthorized trading by u.s. customers, u.s. customers must close their accounts and withdrawal all funds by the end o
is not struck by the end. year, the u.s. economy would head back into recession, contract by half a percent in 2013. president is scheduled to make remarks on the cliff at 1 p.m. time. speaker boehner will address us. can the president say anything to make this whole week look like a dream? >> that's a tough one. what our lalt friend mark haines used to talk about, we need a capitulation, we need the answer, no, are you kidding? there was a congressman on "squawk" this morning say, yes, don't worry about it. when i hear that i say, no, it's not going to happen. we have to have them worry, as worried as we are. i still see this kind of grover norquist run republican party which would rather not have a tax increase and take the tit titanic down in the name of the country. >> viewers will say, wasn't wednesday a woosh? what qualifies a woosh at this point? in terms of the signs we've seen, isn't that qualified as a woosh. >> you open down and rally between 12 and 1. you get the 10 to 1 ratio. i'm just quoting mark haines. if you saw 20 to 1, you would say, you need to buy it. i need to see hai
is considering shipping some of their u.s. shale gas assets to asia. with the current push for energy independence in the u.s., would that even pass regulatory muster and what impact would that have on the stock price? >> a lot of people are feeling that epa will make it so that the only one that can export from here is cheniere lng. i don't think you'll be able to export. i think the government will stop it. tom in new york? tom? >> caller: boo-yah, jim, from new york. >> good to have you. >> caller: i've been hearing so much about true religion. where do you think they're headed? >> it's happening. you have to be on to the next one. that is for real. i'm looking for the next takeover play. but only one that has good fundamentals. how about charlie in washington state? charlie? [ busy tone ] >> wow, charlie sounds like one of those eagles plays i called in yesterday. yeah, it was my fault. the fiscal cliff is clouding judgment and overshadowing good investment opportunities. we have to keep the pressure on. and then we can go back to saving for our kids and retirement. "mad money" wi
year the universal fear was that the u.s. debt would be downgraded. you know the moody's and s&p thing. talk about a friengt unknown. i remember be at eagles training cam np lehigh and the players were all worried about are u.s. government bonds coming under pressure from our government's profligacy. they're worried about the moody's and s.e.c. downgrades. wrong on two counts. first, they should have been far more worried about their performance on the field. [ rimshot ] and second, interest rates actually went down and they went down very big. so worry completely misplaced. totally misplaced. now got the picture. big scare after stocks went down initially but then after a decline similar to the one we're having now we began to see stocks stabilized. which ones stopped going down first? that's what we've got to figure out. there are curious pictures of stocks that do well in a recession and stocks that had gotten down to where their yields were very competitive against prevailing irpt rates. it's true if the fiscal cliff is not bridged your after tax dividend yield will be less than yo
. #. >>> if we go over the fiscal cliff, global business travel association estimates that u.s. biz travel spending will take a $20 billion hit in the short term. but how about the long term outlook? find out next. [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. governor of getting it done. you know how to dance... with a deadline. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. this is awesome. [ male announcer ] yes, it is, business pro. yes, it is. go national. go like a pro. >>> what are the long term effects for business travel if the economy falls off the fiscal cliff? the gbta predicts the reduced deficits and lower interest rates will lead to growth in the economy and an increase in business travel spending. >>> welcome back. now to the weather channel. reynolds wolf is standing by. what is happening around the country today? >> the story is all west. everything is taking place out west. rain, some strong winds, even some snow. some places snow getting up to arou
thanksgiving week, aside from the one disturbance in the central u.s. and the one other area off the carolinas, fairly quiet with the exception of the northwest coastline. that's where we're dealing with a lot of snow and a lot of rain. much of the snow over 7,000 feet. rain especially coastal oregon in some areas 7, 8 inches over the next few days. tuesday, still fairly quiet travel wise. wednesday, that persists in the northwest still remaining one of the trouble spots. thanksgiving, looking pretty good across a good stretch of the country. just a few showers up towards seattle. and as far as the numbers for friday are concerned, looking good there, as well. that may help some of the consumer numbers on black friday. >> why do you have a cool there for thanksgiving? i thought it would be fairly mild here on thursday. i heard low 50s. >> here we are in november, though. so cool, 50s. it's close to the averages. >> all right. just wanted to make sure. i was paying attention. supposed to be sunny and 50s. >> are you going to the parade? >> i'm going to try to go to the parade. we try to go ever
a single share of stock even if he was guaranteed the u.s. goes off the fiscal cliff. just wait until you hear who he thinks should be the treasury secretary. >> we'll begin of course with the deal of the day. conagra foods has agreed to acquire ralcorp for $5 billion. $90 a share in cash. 28% premium to the closing price on monday. kayla tausche reported on potential for a deal between the two companies back in 2011. it creates the largest private label food company in north america. this is a big deal. >> yes, it is. it's big in size in terms of what we've seen in this market. look how excited he is. and they finally got it done. it's been one as you pointed out that was around in 2011. they couldn't get it done. that is conagra. they walked away. ralcorp stock price fell dramatically. they split the post cereal division from ralcorp. the two trade separately. so you did have a company here that perhaps became a little more -- i wouldn't say vulnerable. not as if they were committed to selling. the board composition changed. you have had activist shareholder get on there. that was very
. they were some of the best actors out there. good news for europe, still good news for the international u.s. banks. they went up, too. jp morgan, goldman sachs. retail. we got terrific news on friday. initial returns from the black thursday which used to be black friday, tremendous. we found out that walmart was forecasting the biggest pre-holiday buying ever. with $1 billion a day in sales. they ought to know, they weren't alone. finally there's washington. we headed into the weekend with lots of talk. lots of talk about good feelings. good feelings over possible deal to avert the fiscal cliff. republicans seem to be breaking ranks with the hardliners. talk about maybe raising revenues if the democrats will be willing to do meaningful entitlement reform. that positive tone, the rising above, helped move up the futures right into the bell. who wanted to be short ahead of a weekend deal? what a difference a day makes. this morning we come in, what are they chattering about? greece. greece. can you believe greece? it's standing in the way of a european deal again. this small country with no g
that hasn't happened since october 2011. u.s. equity futures at this hour actually higher. up by about 65 for the dow, s&p more than 7, and as joe mentioned, the fiscal cliff is still the focus. today treasury secretary tim geithner will be meeting with congressional leaders. first harry reid at about 10:00 and then followed by a session with john boehner, eric cantor, paul ryan and chairman of the house's tax writing ways and means committee dave camp. also lunch with republican senate minority leader mitch mcconnell and nancy pelosi. yesterday a number of high profile corporate leaders met with president obama at the white house, including lloyd blankfein. >> both sides have acknowledge there had is revenue concessions and entitlement concessions. in fact if you listen to it, again, i'm not a master of the political art here, but i would say if you have these point of views in a business context, i would say a deal would be in reach. >> among our guests this morning, we have ron johnson. at the white house today, president obama will host mitt romney for a private lunch. it's their firs
a bank did. a bank like wells fargo, u.s. bancorp -- morgan stanley with tremendous exposure to the continent. that's why at times i've had to dismiss the earnings per share gates entirely at the moment if the cohort was radically out of favor. but i never just forgot them. instead i try to choose -- figure out which one's ten at times, break the sector of the gravitational pull and which one can shine. if the sector falls back into favor i got to be ready. in bottom 2009 remember the march bottom generational? we've seen many sectors retail and individual stocks within those sectors outperform. i like to listen to the earnings of all the retailers. at given times i am wrapped by the groups doing the best. by far the top performers during this period have been the discount stores, particularly the dollar stores. dollar general, dg, and dollar tree. when i see the markets tied at money going to retail i go back to my earnings report memory and i reach for these two. i know they have the most earnings momentum. i only know that because i keep listening to the calls. even though
what matters. >>> some decisions, some transactions say more about the u.s. economy than all the other reports throughout. labor, commerce, maybe more than all of them combined. the to booir roll corp for $5 billion is one of those decisions. a lot of different has how old brands over time and take advantage of a good supply chain for soup marke supermarkets, hebrew national, slim jim, swiss miss, brands that were in your mom's cabinets and brands in your kids' cabinets. something happened to big national brands in the great recession. many of them lost their cache. in part because they took prices up year of year after year. why? to please their stockholders and they haven't made as much money selling them like they used to taking up a lot of space. not good business. the endless jaeking up of prices and more profit margins for the stores that sell them. you feel pinched and the supermarket feels priced out, enter private label. at one point they came in black and white cannes and the sup supermarkets tried to adopt this. they want to say, look at me, look at me, i'm cheaper than the
. it didn't matter how well a bank did. a bank like wells fargo, u.s. bancorp -- morgan stanley with tremendous exposure to the continent. that's why at times i've had to dismiss the earnings per share gates entirely at the moment if the cohort was radically out of favor. but i never just forgot them. instead i try to choose -- figure out which one's ten at times, break the sector of the gravitational pull and which one can shine. if the sector falls back into favor i got to be ready. in bottom 2009 remember the march bottom generational? we've seen many sectors retail and individual stocks within those sectors outperform. i like to listen to the earnings of all the retailers. at given times i am wrapped by the groups doing the best. by far the top performers during this period have been the discount stores, particularly the dollar stores. dollar general, dg, and dollar tree. when i see the markets tied at money going to retail i go back to my earnings report memory and i reach for these two. i know they have the most earnings momentum. i only know that because i keep listening
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Search Results 0 to 28 of about 29 (some duplicates have been removed)